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「原油」4.9原油做涨做空 精准行情预测附黄金解套

2020-04-09     卢迎   来源:
文章摘要: 消息面:周三(4月8日)美元指数走高,收复100关口,因新冠疫情接近见顶的乐观情绪消退;澳元和纽元领涨G10货币。金价小幅下滑,现货黄金收于1647.72美元/盎司,美元走强令金价承压,美股大涨也削弱了避险黄金的吸引力。有关俄罗斯准备减产160万桶/日的消息推动油价飙升,美油涨逾10%,升上26美元/桶,上周美国国内原油产量减少60万桶也支撑了油价。

  消xiaoximian:周zhousan(4月yue8日ri)美meiyuanzhishuzougao,收shoufu100关guankou,因yinxinguanyiqingjiejinjiandingdeleguanqingxuxiao退tui;澳aoyuanheniuyuanlingzhangG10货huobi。金jinjiaxiaofuxiahua,现xianhuohuangjinshouyu1647.72美meiyuan/盎angsi,美meiyuanzouqianglingjinjiachengya美股dazhangyexiaoruoliaobixianhuangjindexiyinli。有youguaneluosizhunbeijianchan160万wantong/日ridexiaoxituidongyoujiabiaosheng,美meiyouzhangyu10%,升shengshang26美meiyuan/桶tong,上shangzhoumeiguoguoneiyuanyouchanliangjianshao60万wantongyezhichengliaoyoujia

  

  黄huangjin:现xianhuohuangjinyanxuqianyijiaoyiridieshi,震zhendangweidie。周zhouerhuangjinyiduxiacuoyu1%,主zhuyaoyiqingzhongzaiququezhenbinglizengchangfanghuandejixiangtizhengushi,令linghuangjindebixianxiyinliyousuojiangdi。同tongshiouzhoubiaoshijiangzhubufangkaixianzhi,且qiemeiguoyebiaoshizuikuaisizhouneijianghuizhongqijingji,这zheyelingshichangduiyujingjixiaxingdanyouqingxuhuanjie。值zhideguanzhudeshi,大da西xiyangliangantongchangyibuyiqudejinjiazaicichuxianfenqi,日rineiguanzhu美联储jiyao

  

  黄huangjinri线xianlaikan:低diweichixuhuisheng;MACD金jincha,KDJ指zhishuweiyubijin80,暗anshiduotourengchuqiangshi,短duanqikenengjinyibuzougao。尽jinguanjinjiazhouerzoudi,但danrengweiyu1640上shangfang(1703.39-1451.55下xiadiequshide76.4%回huichewei),因yinciduotoumuqianrengzhanyoushi。上shangxingmubiaoxiankanxiang1660美meiyuanyi线xian,其qicishizhouyichujidegaodian1670一yi线xian,进jinyibushangxing,则zekanxiangzhouergaodian1679美meiyuanyi线xian,该gaidianweiruobeitupozeyouwangshitan3月yue9日rigaodian1703美meiyuan。若ruojinjiashishou1640一yi线xianzhicheng,这zheshi1703.39-1451.55下xiadiequshide76.4%回huichewei,同tongshiyeshibenzhouqianlianggejiaoyirichujidediweifujin,将jiangzengjiaduan线xiankankongxinhao。跌diepohoujinyibuliuyi61.8%回huichewei1606一yi线xian,再zaidushishou,料liaohuichezhixiafang1600关guankouzaiduxiadie,则zeguanzhu1580一yi线xian,这zhejishou20日rijun线xianzhicheng,又youjiejin50%回huichewei

  

  黄huangjin4小xiaoshilaikan:区qujianzhendang;目muqianMACD形xingchengsicha,KDJ死sicha,表biaomingjinjiakanzhangqingxuyousuoxiao退tui,但danjingtiduanqihuiluodeweixian。下xiafangzhichengxianliuyi1640一yi线xian,这zheshizhouerchujididian,同tongshiyejiejinciqianqujianshangguifujin,具juyouyidingzhichengxing,一yidangaidianweishishou,料liaozaiduhuigui1570-1645区qujiankuanfuzhendang。下xiakan1625一yi线xianfujin,这zheshoubulindaizhongguiji30日rijun线xianshuangzhongzhicheng,若ruoshishou,进jinyibukanxiang1607一yi线xian,这zheshi1703-1451.55这zheboxiadiede61.8%回huichewei。下xiapohouliuyi1580一yi线xianfujin,这zhejishibulindaixiaguichu,又youshi1703-1451.55这zheboxiadiede50%回huichewei,在zai4月yuechubeiduociceshi,有youjiaoqiangzhichengxing。只zhiyaojinjiabuzaidupowei1640下xiafang,后houxuzoushiliaoyikanduoweizhu。上shangxingfangmian,先xianguanzhuqianyijiaoyirigaowei1679美meiyuanyi线xian,突tupohouliaozhongxinceshiqianqigaodian1703。综zonghelaikan,今jinriduan线xiancaozuosilushanglujinyinggerenjianyiyihuidiaozuoduoweizhu,反fandangaokongweifu,上shangfangduanqizhongdianguanzhu1656-1658一yi线xianzuli,下xiafangduanqizhongdianguanzhu1636-1638一yi线xianzhicheng

  

  黄huangjinzuixincaozuojianyi

  

  1、黄huangjinshangfangfandanbupo1656-1658一yi线xianzuokong,止zhisun4美meijin,目mubiaokan1645-1643一yi线xian

  

  2、黄huangjinxiafanghuidiaobupo1636-1638一yi线xianzuoduo,止zhisun4美meijin,目mubiaokan1640-1642一yi线xian

  

  3、策celuejingongcankao,盘panjianxingqingshishibianhuajutijinchangdianweiyilujinyingweixin(ljy8171实shipanweizhun

  

  原yuanyou:油youjiadazhang,美meiyuanyouzhangyu10%,因yinshichangyuqichanyouguohuojiangdachengxieyi,此ciqianmeitibaodaoanshieluosijiangjianchan,阿aerjiliyanengyuanbuchangbiaoshi,预yujihuiyijiang“富fuyouchengguo”。原yuanyoucongjishumianlaikan,因yintouzizheduiyuzhousiOPEC+会huiyibaoyouqidai。同tongshimeiouduoguoyuzhubujiechufengsuocuoshi,令lingshichangdeleguanqingxuhuisheng;日ri线xianMACD和heKDJ金jinchayunxing,指zhishizhongchang线xianrengyoujixushangzhangdongneng。但danshangfangjinqizuliweijiaoduo,油youjiaduanqizoushikenengshoudaoyazhi。油youjiazhengtirengweichizai19.27-30.00区qujiankuanfuzhendang。上shangfangchubuzulizai27.40附fujin,进jinyibuzulizaibenzhougaodian28.24附fujin,该gaiweizhitongshikaojinbulin线xianzhonggui,阻zulixiangduijiaoqiang,若ruodingpogaiweizhi,则zeyoujiayouwangjinyibuchongji30心xinliguankou,该gaiweizhizulixiangduijiaoqiang,一yidantupogaiguankou,将jiangjiangdafuzengjiakanzhangxinhao,并bingyouwangchongji3月yue9日ridadiedetiaokongquekou36.34附fujinzuli

  

  不buguo,市shichangrengzaiguanzhumeiguoduiyujianchandebiaotai,这zheduiyudachengjianchanjuyouguanjianyingxiang;且qieKDJ在zaichaomaiquyuxiangxiaguaitou,有youjiechengsichadejixiang,短duan线xianrengranxuyaojingtiyoujiazhendangxiadiehediweizhendangdekeneng,下xiafangchubuzhichengzai10日rijun线xian23.55附fujin,该gaiweizhitongshiyeshizhouerjishangzhouwuchujidedidian,若ruoshishougaiweizhi,则zeyoujiakenengzhongxinshitan20心xinliguankouzhicheng;综zonghelaikan,今jinriduan线xiancaozuosilushanglujinyinggerenjianyiyihuidiaozuoduoweizhu,反fandangaokongweifu,上shangfangduanqizhongdianguanzhu27.6-27.8一yi线xianzuli,下xiafangduanqizhongdianguanzhu25.0-25.2一yi线xianzhicheng

  

  原yuanyouzuixincaozuojianyi

  

  1、原yuanyoushangfangfandanbupo27.6-27.8一yi线xianzuokong,止zhisun0.4美meijin,目mubiaokan26.4-26.2一yi线xian

  

  2、原yuanyouxiafanghuidiaobupo25.0-25.2一yi线xianzuoduo,止zhisun0.4美meijin,目mubiaokan26.6-26.8一yi线xian

  

  3、行xingqingqianbianwanhua、点dianweijingongcankao,投touziyoufengxian、入rushixujinshen,详xiangqingguanzhulujinyingbenrenguan||薇wei:ljy8171

  

  在zaijinrongtouzizhong,只zhiyaoyidanjinruliaojiaoyi,就jiuhuimianlinbutongchengdushangdefengxian,所suoyitouzizheshouxianzuiweizhongyaodeyidianjiushibawokongzhizhuruchangjiaoyishijian。而ertouzizhedechicangshijianyufengxianyeshixixixiangguande:持chicangshijianyueduan,所suomianlindefengxianjiuhuiyuexiao;而erchicangshijianyuechang,所suomianlindeshijianjianghuiyuechang,所suoyikongzhichicangshijianshihenzhongyaode.

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关键词:行情预测   原油   黄金   解套  
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