「原油」4.13周一行情完美获利 原油黄金行情解析走势预测

　　黄huang金jin、原yuan油you走zou势shi回hui顾gu与yu展zhan望wang：

　　刚gang刚gang过guo去qu的de一yi周zhou，金jin融rong市shi场chang丝si毫hao不bu平ping静jing，原yuan油you市shi场chang围wei绕rao减jian产chan屡lv次ci闹nao出chu“大da乌wu龙long”，油you价jia在zai大da跌die态tai势shi中zhong剧ju烈lie震zhen荡dang。美mei国guo就jiu业ye数shu据ju依yi旧jiu“爆bao表biao”，美联储（FED）再zai度du祭ji出chu“重zhong型xing炮pao”以yi刺ci激ji卫wei生sheng事shi件jian冲chong击ji下xia的de经jing济ji。全quan球qiu卫wei生sheng事shi件jian尤you其qi是shi欧ou美mei国guo家jia卫wei生sheng事shi件jian似si乎hu拐guai点dian隐yin现xian，美mei国guo总zong统tong川chuan普pu称cheng卫wei生sheng事shi件jian已yi接jie近jin峰feng值zhi，将jiang很hen快kuai重zhong启qi经jing济ji。然ran而er，美mei国guo失shi业ye人ren数shu依yi旧jiu呈cheng现xian暴bao增zeng势shi头tou，且qie未wei来lai几ji周zhou就jiu业ye市shi场chang前qian景jing依yi旧jiu堪kan忧you。另ling外wai，本ben周zhou现货黄金和he期qi货huo金jin价jia格ge罕han见jian出chu现xian断duan层ceng现xian象xiang，期qi金jin价jia格ge大da涨zhang带dai动dong伦lun敦dun现xian货huo黄huang金jin走zou强qiang，但dan本ben周zhou双shuang双shuang大da幅fu收shou涨zhang。WTI原yuan油you维wei持chi低di迷mi态tai势shi，最zui低di触chu及ji22.57美mei元yuan/桶tong，本ben周zhou累lei计ji下xia跌die超chao18%报bao23.19美mei元yuan/桶tong。与yu此ci同tong时shi，布bu伦lun特te原yuan油you本ben周zhou累lei计ji下xia跌die7.7%，报bao31.48美mei元yuan/桶tong。

　　接jie下xia来lai的de一yi周zhou，市shi场chang将jiang迎ying来lai素su有you“恐kong怖bu数shu据ju”之zhi称cheng的de美mei国guo3月yue零ling售shou销xiao售shou数shu据ju，且qie美mei国guo将jiang公gong布bu截jie至zhi4月yue11日ri当dang周zhou的de初chu请qing失shi业ye金jin人ren数shu，届jie时shi恐kong再zai度du掀xian翻fan市shi场chang。另ling外wai，中zhong国guo将jiang公gong布bu一yi季ji度duGDP数shu据ju，加jia拿na大da央yang行xing（BOC）将jiang继ji此ci前qian两liang度du紧jin急ji降jiang息xi后hou再zai度du公gong布bu利li率lv决jue定ding，投tou资zi者zhe可ke保bao持chi重zhong点dian关guan注zhu。

　　一yi、美mei原yuan油you走zou势shi分fen析xi

　　刚gang刚gang过guo去qu的de一yi周zhou，在zai各ge产chan油you国guo的de努nu力li之zhi下xia，召zhao开kai了liaoOPEC+及ji其qi他ta产chan油you国guo视shi频pin会hui议yi与yuG20能neng源yuan部bu长chang会hui议yi，但dan结jie果guo不bu尽jin人ren意yi，旨zhi在zai挽wan救jiu石shi油you市shi场chang的de全quan球qiu减jian产chan协xie议yi在zai周zhou五wu几ji经jing波bo折zhe后hou终zhong难nan达da成cheng，沙sha特te牵qian头tou发fa起qi的de外wai交jiao倡chang议yi屡lv屡lv遭zao受shou挫cuo折zhe，且qie需xu求qiu压ya制zhi油you市shi大da幅fu走zou高gao；美mei原yuan油you大da跌die20%，布bu伦lun特te原yuan油you期qi货huo也ye大da跌die逾yu7%，尽jin管guan市shi场chang接jie近jin达da成cheng1000万wan桶tong的de减jian产chan协xie议yi，但dan仍reng存cun在zai墨mo西xi哥ge方fang面mian的de不bu确que定ding性xing，且qie油you市shi需xu求qiu已yi经jing崩beng溃kui，金jin迎ying认ren为wei，即ji便bian减jian产chan也ye难nan以yi覆fu盖gai需xu求qiu的de塌ta陷xian。

　　技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan，油you价jia仍reng维wei持chi在zai19.27-30.00区qu间jian运yun行xing，日ri线xianMACD金jin叉cha，但danKDJ即ji将jiang结jie成cheng死si叉cha，油you价jia周zhou四si受shou到dao减jian产chan消xiao息xi面mian提ti振zhen一yi度du触chu及ji28.36后hou快kuai速su回hui落luo，并bing下xia破po周zhou低di点dian支zhi撑cheng23.50，最zui低di触chu及ji22.57，短duan线xian看kan空kong信xin号hao有you所suo增zeng加jia，目mu前qian本ben周zhou低di点dian22.57是shi下xia方fang初chu步bu支zhi撑cheng所suo在zai，进jin一yi步bu支zhi撑cheng在zai22.00关guan口kou；若ruo失shi守shou该gai位wei置zhi，以yi及ji油you价jia将jiang重zhong新xin测ce试shi20.00-19.90区qu间jian的de支zhi撑cheng性xing，这zhe是shi近jin期qi最zui重zhong要yao心xin理li关guan口kou。不bu过guo，由you于yuMACD仍reng然ran金jin叉cha运yun行xing，油you价jia再zai次ci回hui到dao相xiang对dui低di位wei，逢feng低di买mai盘pan也ye会hui对dui油you价jia构gou成cheng一yi定ding支zhi撑cheng，若ruo油you价jia坚jian守shou22关guan口kou支zhi撑cheng，则ze仍reng然ran存cun在zai低di位wei反fan弹dan的de可ke能neng，上shang方fang初chu步bu阻zu力li在zai10日ri均jun线xian23.71附fu近jin，若ruo收shou复fu该gai位wei置zhi，则ze削xiao弱ruo短duan线xian看kan空kong信xin号hao，5日ri均jun线xian阻zu力li在zai25.78附fu近jin，若ruo突tu破po该gai位wei置zhi，则ze增zeng加jia短duan线xian看kan涨zhang信xin号hao，进jin一yi步bu较jiao强qiang阻zu力li在zai布bu林lin线xian中zhong轨gui27.29附fu近jin；综zong合he来lai看kan，油you价jia短duan线xian仍reng然ran存cun在zai一yi定ding回hui调diao需xu求qiu，但dan是shi个ge人ren建jian议yi短duan线xian看kan空kong不bu追zhui空kong，耐nai心xin等deng待dai反fan弹dan信xin号hao布bu局ju中zhong线xian多duo单dan即ji可ke，所suo以yi下xia周zhou一yi操cao作zuo思si路lu上shang建jian议yi低di多duo为wei主zhu，高gao空kong为wei辅fu；

　　上shang方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu阻zu力li:23.71；25.78；

　　下xia方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu支zhi撑cheng:22.57；22.00；

　　行xing情qing实shi时shi变bian化hua，策ce略lue仅jin供gong参can考kao，实shi时shi进jin出chu场chang点dian位wei及ji中zhong长chang线xian布bu局ju咨zi询xun卢lu金jin迎ying免mian费fei获huo取qu！

　　二er、现xian货huo黄huang金jin走zou势shi分fen析xi

　　刚gang刚gang过guo去qu的de一yi周zhou，现xian货huo黄huang金jin震zhen荡dang走zou高gao，虽sui然ran期qi间jian2个ge交jiao易yi日ri小xiao幅fu回hui撤che，但dan整zheng体ti维wei持chi涨zhang势shi，周zhou中zhong最zui高gao触chu及ji1689.50美mei元yuan/盎ang司si，周zhou图tu仍reng以yi较jiao长chang阳yang线xian收shou涨zhang报bao1682.20美mei元yuan/盎ang司si。而er期qi货huo黄huang金jin涨zhang势shi则ze更geng为wei强qiang劲jin，周zhou中zhong一yi度du冲chong高gao至zhi1754.50美mei元yuan/盎ang司si高gao点dian，最zui终zhong以yi阳yang线xian收shou涨zhang报bao1740.60美mei元yuan/盎ang司si，本ben周zhou现xian货huo金jin和he期qi货huo金jin价jia格ge断duan层ceng现xian象xiang明ming显xian，最zui高gao价jia差cha额e一yi度du达da到dao72美mei元yuan。现xian货huo黄huang金jin本ben周zhou大da涨zhang3.88%至zhi1683.73美mei元yuan/盎ang司si，金jin价jia周zhou中zhong触chu及ji3月yue9日ri以yi来lai的de一yi个ge月yue新xin高gao至zhi1690.32美mei元yuan/盎ang司si。

　　技ji术shu面mian来lai看kan，金jin价jia周zhou四si大da涨zhang并bing刷shua新xin1690的de近jin一yi个ge月yue高gao点dian，逼bi近jin1700关guan口kou，日ri线xianMACD和heKDJ金jin叉cha，指zhi示shi多duo头tou相xiang对dui强qiang势shi，中zhong长chang线xian可ke能neng进jin一yi步bu走zou高gao。上shang方fang目mu标biao首shou先xian看kan向xiang3月yue9日ri高gao点dian1703.39美mei元yuan。不bu过guo由you于yu金jin价jia目mu前qian仍reng然ran受shou到dao1690附fu近jin阻zu力li压ya制zhi，且qieKDJ指zhi标biao目mu前qian处chu于yu超chao买mai状zhuang态tai，且qie出chu现xian顶ding背bei离li现xian象xiang，若ruo金jin价jia不bu能neng有you效xiao突tu破po1690附fu近jin阻zu力li压ya制zhi，则ze仍reng然ran需xu要yao警jing惕ti金jin价jia震zhen荡dang回hui落luo的de可ke能neng，目mu前qian下xia方fang初chu步bu支zhi撑cheng在zai1660附fu近jin，5日ri均jun线xian1651.87附fu近jin，10日ri均jun线xian支zhi撑cheng在zai1629.27附fu近jin，该gai位wei置zhi同tong时shi也ye靠kao近jin上shang4月yue3日ri触chu及ji的de高gao点dian；

　　短duan线xian4小xiao时shiMACD重zhong新xin结jie成cheng金jin叉cha，KDJ金jin叉cha，指zhi示shi金jin价jia仍reng然ran具ju备bei一yi定ding的de上shang行xing动dong能neng，上shang方fang首shou先xian关guan注zhu周zhou四si高gao点dian1690附fu近jin阻zu力li，该gai位wei置zhi压ya制zhi性xing相xiang对dui较jiao强qiang，若ruo突tu破po该gai位wei置zhi，则ze金jin价jia将jiang重zhong新xin测ce试shi前qian期qi高gao点dian1703一yi线xian；不bu过guo，由you于yuKDJ的de“J”值zhi目mu前qian出chu现xian严yan重zhong超chao买mai，短duan线xian仍reng然ran需xu要yao警jing惕ti金jin价jia回hui调diao的de需xu求qiu，下xia方fang支zhi撑cheng先xian留liu意yi5日ri均jun线xian1671.99附fu近jin，进jin一yi步bu支zhi撑cheng在zai10日ri均jun线xian1660.78附fu近jin，布bu林lin带dai中zhong轨gui支zhi撑cheng在zai1650.33附fu近jin，一yi旦dan跌die破po，将jiang进jin一yi步bu增zeng加jia看kan跌die风feng险xian。综zong合he来lai看kan，下xia周zhou一yi短duan线xian操cao作zuo思si路lu上shang个ge人ren建jian议yi高gao空kong为wei主zhu，低di多duo为wei辅fu；

　　上shang方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu阻zu力li:1690.00；1700.00

　　下xia方fang重zhong点dian关guan注zhu支zhi撑cheng:1671.99；1650.33；

　　行xing情qing实shi时shi变bian化hua，策ce略lue仅jin供gong参can考kao，实shi时shi进jin出chu场chang点dian位wei及ji中zhong长chang线xian布bu局ju咨zi询xun卢lu金jin迎ying免mian费fei获huo取qu！

　　免mian责ze声sheng明ming：以yi上shang分fen析xi内nei容rong仅jin代dai表biao作zuo者zhe个ge人ren观guan点dian，不bu构gou成cheng具ju体ti操cao作zuo，文wen章zhang具ju有you滞zhi后hou性xing，据ju此ci操cao作zuo，盈ying亏kui自zi负fu，投tou资zi有you风feng险xian，入ru市shi需xu谨jin慎shen。