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「原油」4.13周一行情完美获利 原油黄金行情解析走势预测

2020-04-13     卢迎   来源:
文章摘要:刚刚过去的一周,金融市场丝毫不平静,原油市场围绕减产屡次闹出“大乌龙”,油价在大跌态势中剧烈震荡。美国就业数据依旧“爆表”,美联储(FED)再度祭出“重型炮”以刺激卫生事件冲击下的经济。全球卫生事件尤其是欧美国家卫生事件似乎拐点隐现,美国总统川普称卫生事件已接近峰值,将很快重启经济。然而,美国失业人数依旧呈现暴增势头,且未来几周就业市场前景依旧堪忧。

  黄huangjin、原yuanyouzoushihuiguyuzhanwang

  

  刚ganggangguoqudeyizhou,金jinrongshichangsihaobupingjing,原yuanyoushichangweiraojianchanlvcinaochu“大dawulong”,油youjiazaidadietaishizhongjuliezhendang。美meiguojiuyeshujuyijiu“爆baobiao”,美联储(FED)再zaidujichu“重zhongxingpao”以yicijiweishengshijianchongjixiadejingji。全quanqiuweishengshijianyouqishioumeiguojiaweishengshijiansihuguaidianyinxian,美meiguozongtongchuanpuchengweishengshijianyijiejinfengzhi,将jianghenkuaizhongqijingji。然raner,美meiguoshiyerenshuyijiuchengxianbaozengshitou,且qieweilaijizhoujiuyeshichangqianjingyijiukanyou。另lingwai,本benzhou现货黄金heqihuojinjiagehanjianchuxianduancengxianxiang,期qijinjiagedazhangdaidonglundunxianhuohuangjinzouqiang,但danbenzhoushuangshuangdafushouzhang。WTI原yuanyouweichidimitaishi,最zuidichuji22.57美meiyuan/桶tong,本benzhouleijixiadiechao18%报bao23.19美meiyuan/桶tong。与yucitongshi,布bulunteyuanyoubenzhouleijixiadie7.7%,报bao31.48美meiyuan/桶tong

  

  接jiexialaideyizhou,市shichangjiangyinglaisuyou“恐kongbushuju”之zhichengdemeiguo3月yuelingshouxiaoshoushuju,且qiemeiguojianggongbujiezhi4月yue11日ridangzhoudechuqingshiyejinrenshu,届jieshikongzaiduxianfanshichang。另lingwai,中zhongguojianggongbuyijiduGDP数shuju,加jianadayangxing(BOC)将jiangjiciqianliangdujinjijiangxihouzaidugongbulilvjueding,投touzizhekebaochizhongdianguanzhu

  

  一yi、美meiyuanyouzoushifenxi

  

  刚ganggangguoqudeyizhou,在zaigechanyouguodenulizhixia,召zhaokailiaoOPEC+及jiqitachanyouguoshipinhuiyiyuG20能nengyuanbuchanghuiyi,但danjieguobujinrenyi,旨zhizaiwanjiushiyoushichangdequanqiujianchanxieyizaizhouwujijingbozhehouzhongnandacheng,沙shateqiantoufaqidewaijiaochangyilvlvzaoshoucuozhe,且qiexuqiuyazhiyoushidafuzougao;美meiyuanyoudadie20%,布bulunteyuanyouqihuoyedadieyu7%,尽jinguanshichangjiejindacheng1000万wantongdejianchanxieyi,但danrengcunzaimo西xigefangmiandebuquedingxing,且qieyoushixuqiuyijingbengkui,金jinyingrenwei,即ji便bianjianchanyenanyifugaixuqiudetaxian

  

  技jishumianlaikan,油youjiarengweichizai19.27-30.00区qujianyunxing,日ri线xianMACD金jincha,但danKDJ即jijiangjiechengsicha,油youjiazhousishoudaojianchanxiaoximiantizhenyiduchuji28.36后houkuaisuhuiluo,并bingxiapozhoudidianzhicheng23.50,最zuidichuji22.57,短duan线xiankankongxinhaoyousuozengjia,目muqianbenzhoudidian22.57是shixiafangchubuzhichengsuozai,进jinyibuzhichengzai22.00关guankou;若ruoshishougaiweizhi,以yijiyoujiajiangzhongxinceshi20.00-19.90区qujiandezhichengxing,这zheshijinqizuizhongyaoxinliguankou。不buguo,由youyuMACD仍rengranjinchayunxing,油youjiazaicihuidaoxiangduidiwei,逢fengdimaipanyehuiduiyoujiagouchengyidingzhicheng,若ruoyoujiajianshou22关guankouzhicheng,则zerengrancunzaidiweifandandekeneng,上shangfangchubuzulizai10日rijun线xian23.71附fujin,若ruoshoufugaiweizhi,则zexiaoruoduan线xiankankongxinhao,5日rijun线xianzulizai25.78附fujin,若ruotupogaiweizhi,则zezengjiaduan线xiankanzhangxinhao,进jinyibujiaoqiangzulizaibulin线xianzhonggui27.29附fujin;综zonghelaikan,油youjiaduan线xianrengrancunzaiyidinghuidiaoxuqiu,但danshigerenjianyiduan线xiankankongbuzhuikong,耐naixindengdaifandanxinhaobujuzhong线xianduodanjike,所suoyixiazhouyicaozuosilushangjianyididuoweizhu,高gaokongweifu

  

  上shangfangzhongdianguanzhuzuli:23.71;25.78;

  

  下xiafangzhongdianguanzhuzhicheng:22.57;22.00;

  

  行xingqingshishibianhua,策celuejingongcankao,实shishijinchuchangdianweijizhongchang线xianbujuzixunlujinyingmianfeihuoqu

  

  二er、现xianhuohuangjinzoushifenxi

  

  刚ganggangguoqudeyizhou,现xianhuohuangjinzhendangzougao,虽suiranqijian2个gejiaoyirixiaofuhuiche,但danzhengtiweichizhangshi,周zhouzhongzuigaochuji1689.50美meiyuan/盎angsi,周zhouturengyijiaochangyang线xianshouzhangbao1682.20美meiyuan/盎angsi。而erqihuohuangjinzhangshizegengweiqiangjin,周zhouzhongyiduchonggaozhi1754.50美meiyuan/盎angsigaodian,最zuizhongyiyang线xianshouzhangbao1740.60美meiyuan/盎angsi,本benzhouxianhuojinheqihuojinjiageduancengxianxiangmingxian,最zuigaojiachaeyidudadao72美meiyuan。现xianhuohuangjinbenzhoudazhang3.88%至zhi1683.73美meiyuan/盎angsi,金jinjiazhouzhongchuji3月yue9日riyilaideyigeyuexingaozhi1690.32美meiyuan/盎angsi

  

  技jishumianlaikan,金jinjiazhousidazhangbingshuaxin1690的dejinyigeyuegaodian,逼bijin1700关guankou,日ri线xianMACD和heKDJ金jincha,指zhishiduotouxiangduiqiangshi,中zhongchang线xiankenengjinyibuzougao。上shangfangmubiaoshouxiankanxiang3月yue9日rigaodian1703.39美meiyuan。不buguoyouyujinjiamuqianrengranshoudao1690附fujinzuliyazhi,且qieKDJ指zhibiaomuqianchuyuchaomaizhuangtai,且qiechuxiandingbeilixianxiang,若ruojinjiabunengyouxiaotupo1690附fujinzuliyazhi,则zerengranxuyaojingtijinjiazhendanghuiluodekeneng,目muqianxiafangchubuzhichengzai1660附fujin,5日rijun线xian1651.87附fujin,10日rijun线xianzhichengzai1629.27附fujin,该gaiweizhitongshiyekaojinshang4月yue3日richujidegaodian

  

  短duan线xian4小xiaoshiMACD重zhongxinjiechengjincha,KDJ金jincha,指zhishijinjiarengranjubeiyidingdeshangxingdongneng,上shangfangshouxianguanzhuzhousigaodian1690附fujinzuli,该gaiweizhiyazhixingxiangduijiaoqiang,若ruotupogaiweizhi,则zejinjiajiangzhongxinceshiqianqigaodian1703一yi线xian;不buguo,由youyuKDJ的de“J”值zhimuqianchuxianyanzhongchaomai,短duan线xianrengranxuyaojingtijinjiahuidiaodexuqiu,下xiafangzhichengxianliuyi5日rijun线xian1671.99附fujin,进jinyibuzhichengzai10日rijun线xian1660.78附fujin,布bulindaizhongguizhichengzai1650.33附fujin,一yidandiepo,将jiangjinyibuzengjiakandiefengxian。综zonghelaikan,下xiazhouyiduan线xiancaozuosilushanggerenjianyigaokongweizhu,低diduoweifu

  

  上shangfangzhongdianguanzhuzuli:1690.00;1700.00

  

  下xiafangzhongdianguanzhuzhicheng:1671.99;1650.33;

  

  行xingqingshishibianhua,策celuejingongcankao,实shishijinchuchangdianweijizhongchang线xianbujuzixunlujinyingmianfeihuoqu

  

  免mianzeshengming:以yishangfenxineirongjindaibiaozuozhegerenguandian,不bugouchengjuticaozuo,文wenzhangjuyouzhihouxing,据jucicaozuo,盈yingkuizifu,投touziyoufengxian,入rushixujinshen


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